**Topical Disturbance #1 Information** 
												 **ECM output initialized 2023120200 ** 

												 **GENESIS PREDICTED? 	 YES, at forecast hour 054**

												 48 h genesis probability: 22%
												 120 h genesis probability: 31%
												 168 h genesis probability: 32%

TIME (fhr)		000	006	012	018	024	030	036	042	048	054	060	066	072	078	084	090	096	102	108	114	120	126	132	138	144	150	156	162	168	174	180	186	192	198	TIME (fhr)
CRITERIA MET?		NO	NO	NO	NO	YES	NO	NO	NO	NO	YES	YES	YES	YES	YES	YES	YES	YES	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	NO	CRITERIA MET?
LAT			10.8	11.2	11.2	10.8	10.8	12.0	13.2	13.2	12.8	14.0	14.4	14.4	14.8	15.2	15.6	16.0	16.4	16.8	17.2	16.8	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	LAT
LON			84.8	83.2	82.4	82.4	83.2	83.2	82.4	81.2	81.2	81.6	80.8	80.8	80.8	80.8	80.8	80.8	81.2	81.6	82.0	82.0	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	LON
925 WS MAX (m/s)	19.78	21.18	21.08	19.82	21.7	24.18	25.44	24.75	22.75	25.57	23.58	21.66	21.04	20.3	18.48	21.45	18.03	(16.65)	(15.2)	(15.57)	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	925 WS MAX (m/s)
850 RV MAX (*10^-5 1/s)	(21.54)	(26.74)	(28.57)	(30.26)	32.57	(30.56)	(28.08)	(31.12)	(30.1)	33.1	33.68	34.29	40.07	45.75	50.17	59.15	49.0	42.38	37.6	(30.16)	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	850 RV MAX (*10^-5 1/s)
250-850 THKN (m)	9532.3	9543.7	9547.5	9551.7	9557.0	9559.2	9570.8	9558.6	9568.0	9570.1	9572.4	9566.4	9571.4	9571.0	9572.5	9577.5	9564.3	9558.6	9551.2	9538.5	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	250-850 THKN (m)