Why "moe"?

Research Interests



  Current Students

Web Pages


Computer Cluster


Vita / CV


Publications (peer reviewed; supervised student is underlined):

Published/In Press:


Halperin, D., R. Hart, H. Fuelberg, and J. Cossuth, 2017: The development and evaluation of a statistical-dynamical tropical cyclone genesis guidance tool. Wea. Forec., 32, 27-46.


Halperin, D., H. Fuelberg, R. Hart, and J. Cossuth, 2016: Verification of tropical cyclone genesis forecasts from global models: Comparisons between the North Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins. Wea. Forec., 31, 947-955.

Hart, R. E., D. R. Chavas, and M. P. Guishard, 2016: The arbitrary definition of the current Atlantic major hurricane landfall drought. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 97, 713-722.


Schenkel, B. and R. E. Hart, 2015: An examination of the thermodynamic impacts of western North Pacific tropical cyclones on their tropical tropospheric environment. J. Climate, 28, 7529-7560.

Helms, C. N. and R. E. Hart, 2015: The evolution of dropsonde-derived kinematic and thermodynamic structures in developing and non-developing Atlantic tropical convective systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 3109-3135.

Ryglicki, D. and R. E. Hart, 2015: An Investigation of Center-Finding Techniques for Tropical Cyclones in Mesoscale Models. J. Applied Meteor. and Climatology, 54, 825-846.

Schenkel, B. and R. E. Hart, 2015: An analysis of the environmental moisture impacts of western North Pacific tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 28, 2600-2622.

Hazelton, A., R. Rogers, and R. E. Hart, 2015: Shear-Relative Asymmetries in Tropical Cyclone Eyewall Slope. Monthly Weather Review, 14, 883-903.


Halperin, D., H. Fuelberg, R. Hart, J. Cossuth, Sura, P., and R. Pasch, 2014: An evaluation of tropical cyclone genesis forecasts from global numerical models.Wea. Forec., 28, 1423-1445.


Truchelut, R., R. E. Hart, and B. Luthman, 2013: Global identification of previously undetected tropical cyclone candidates in NOAA/CIRES 20th Century Reanalysis data. J. Appl. Meteor. and Clim., 52, 2243-2259.

Hart, R.E. and J. H. Cossuth, 2013: A family tree of tropical meteorology's academic community and its proposed expansion. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 94, 1837-1848.

Helms, C. N. and R. Hart, 2013: A polygon-based line integral method for calculating vorticity, divergence, and deformation for non-uniform observations. J. Appl. Meteor. and Clim., 52, 1511-1521.

Creighton, G.A., R.E. Hart, and P. Cunningham, 2013: A spatial filter approach to determining the role of convection on the evolution of a mesoscale vortex. J. Atm. Sci., 70, 1954-1976.

Hazelton, A. and R. E. Hart, 2013: Hurricane eye slope as determined by using airborne radar reflectivity data: Composites and Case Studies. Wea. and Forec., 28, 368-386.

Cossuth, J., R. Knabb, D. Brown, and R. E. Hart, 2013: Tropical cyclone genesis guidance using pre-development Dvorak climatology. Wea. and Forec., 28, 100-118.


Schenkel, B. and R. E. Hart, 2012: An examination of tropical cyclone position and intensity differences within reanalysis datasets. J. Climate, MERRA Special Collection, 25, 3453-3475. doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4208.1.


Schenkel, B. and R. Hart, 2011: Conference Notebook: Potential Precursors to Tropical Cyclone Passage. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., October 2011, 1282-1283.

Truchelut, R.E. and R.E. Hart, 2011: Quantifying the possible existence of undocumented Atlantic warm-core cyclones in NOAA/CIRES 20th Century Reanalysis Data. Geo. Res. Let., 38, L08811, doi:10.1029/2011GL046756.


Hart, R.E.,2010: An inverse relationship between aggregate tropical cyclone activity and subsequent winter climate. Geo. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2010GL045612.


Guishard, M.P., J. E. Evans, R. E. Hart, 2009: Atlantic Subtropical Storms. Part II: Climatology. J. Climate, 22, 3574-3594.


Hart, R., R. Maue, and M. Watson, 2008:Papers of Note: How long does the climate "remember" a tropical cyclone? Bulletin of the Amer. Meteor. Soc., May 2008, 596-598.

Junker, N.W, Richard. H. Grumm, R. E. Hart, L.F. Bosart, K. M. Bell, and Frank J. Pereira, 2008: Use of anomalous fields to anticipate extreme rainfall in the mountains of northern California. Wea. Forec., 23, 336-356.

Evans, C. and R.E. Hart, 2008: Analysis of the wind field evolution associated with the extratropical transition of Bonnie (1998).Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2047-2065.


Hart, R., R. Maue, and M. Watson, 2007: Estimating the atmospheric and SST memory of tropical cyclones through MPI anomaly evolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 3990-4005.

Maue, R. and R. Hart, 2007: Comment on: "Low frequency variability in globally integrated tropical cyclone power dissipation." Geo. Res. Letters, 34, L11703, doi:1029/2006GL028283

Manning, D. and R. E. Hart, 2007: Evolution of North Atlantic ERA40 Tropical Cyclone Representation. Geo. Res. Letters, 34, L05705. doi:10.1029/2006GL028266

Guishard, M.P., E. A. Nelson, J. L. Evans, R. E. Hart, and D. G. O'Connell, 2007: Bermuda subtropical storms. Meteor. and Atmos. Phys.. doi:10.1007/s00703-006-0255-y


Hart, R., 2006: "Hurricanes: A Primer on Formation, Structure, Intensity Change, and Frequency." Ed: Jeff Kueter. Marshall Institute. 20pp.

Evans, J.E. and R. E. Hart, 2006: "Extratropical Transition of tropical cyclones". Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions. Volume 2. Wessex Institute of Technology. Ed: William Perrie.

Hart, R., J. L. Evans, and C. Evans, 2006: Synoptic composites of the extratropical transition lifecycle of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Factors Determining Post-Transition Evolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 553-578.


Jones, S.C., P.A. Harr, J. Abraham, L.F. Bosart, P.J. Bowyer, J.L. Evans, D. E. Hanley, B. N. Hanstrum, R.E. Hart, F. Lalaurette, M.R. Sinclair, R.K. Smith, and C. Thorncroft, 2003: The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Forecast challenges, current understanding, and future directions. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1052-1092.

Evans, J.L. and R. Hart, 2003: Objective indicators of the extratropical transition lifecycle of Atlantic tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 909-925.

Hart, R.,2003: A cyclone phase space derived from thermal wind and thermal asymmetry. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 585-616.


Grumm, R. H. and R. Hart, 2001: Standardized Anomalies Applied to Significant Cold Season Weather Events: Preliminary Findings Wea. Forecasting, 16, 736-754.

Hart, R. and R.H. Grumm, 2001: Using normalized climatological anomalies to objectively rank extreme synoptic-scale events. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2426-2442.

Hart, R. and J.L. Evans, 2001: A climatology of the extratropical transition of Atlantic tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 14, 546-564.


Hart, R., and J.L. Evans, 1999: Simulations of dual-vortex interaction within Environmental Shear. J. Atm. Science., 56, 3605-3621.

Hart, R.E, and G. S. Forbes, 1999: The use of hourly model-generated soundings to forecast mesoscale phenomena: Part II: Forecasting non-convective strong wind gusts.Wea and Forecasting, 14, 461-469.


Hart, R.E., G. S. Forbes, and R. H. Grumm, 1998: The use of hourly model-generated soundings to forecast mesoscale phenomena: Part I: Forecasting warm-season phenomena. Wea and Forecasting, 13, 1165-1185.

Oh, people can come up with statistics to prove anything, Kent. 14% of people know that. -- Homer Simpson
Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true! --Homer Simpson