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FSU Southeast US WRF Ensemble Simulations
[ Current Model Simulation: 0600 UTC 07 November 2009 ]

This page presents real-time output from a sixteen member physics- and perturbations-based ensemble of 0600 and 1800 UTC 36 hr simulations across the Southeast United States. Model details, research and forecast goals, and ensemble examples may all be found on the left sidebar, including links to the newest products available on this website (updated continually).

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(11/06/09): Effective with today's 0600 UTC run, the Southeast US WRF Ensemble is now run at an improved horizontal grid spacing of 12 km.

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Ensemble Product Output Multi-Member Fields Ensemble Spread Fields Ensemble Probability Fields Member #1 -- GFS KF+YSU Member #2 -- GFS KF+MYJ Member #3 -- GFS BMJ+YSU Member #4 -- GFS BMJ+MYJ Member #5 -- NAM KF+YSU Member #6 -- NAM KF+MYJ Member #7 -- NAM BMJ+YSU Member #8 -- NAM BMJ+MYJ Member #9 -- GFS GD+YSU Member #10 -- NAM GD+YSU Member #11 -- GFS WSM6 Member #12 -- NAM WSM6 Member #13 -- GFS BMJ+MYJ+WSM6 Member #14 -- NAM BMJ+MYJ+WSM6 Member #15 -- GFS QNSE Member #16 -- NAM QNSE General Parameters Sea level pressure (hPa) 10 m wind (MPH) 2 m temperature (F) 2 m dewpoint (F) 200 hPa heights and winds 500 hPa height, wind, temperature 700 hPa height, wind, temperature 850 hPa height, wind, temperature Precipitation Fields Base reflectivity Composite reflectivity Hourly precipitation Accumulated precipitation Max/Min/Accumulated Meteorological Fields Simulation Maximum Temperature Simulation Minimum Temperature Maximum Member 2 m Temperature (F) Minimum Member 2 m Temperature (F) Simulation Total Precipitation Maximum Member Hourly Precipitation Maximum Member Acc. Precipitation Advanced Parameters 2 m Dewpoint Depression Wind Chill (F) Heat Index (F) 850 hPa Equiv. Potential Temperature 850 hPa Relative Vorticity 500 hPa Absolute Vorticity 850-500 hPa Mean Rel. Humidity Severe Parameters CAPE & Low-Level Shear 0-3 km Energy Helicity Index Surface-based CAPE & CIN 0-3 km Helicity 0-3 km Storm-Relative Helicity Low- and Mid-Level Lapse Rates 850-200 hPa Wind Shear Hourly Meteograms --Tallahassee CWA-- Tallahassee, FL (KTLH) Panama City, FL (KPFN) Dothan, AL (KDHN) Albany, GA (KABY) --Mobile CWA-- Pensacola, FL (KPNS) Mobile, AL (KMOB) --Birmingham CWA-- Birmingham, AL (KBHM) Tuscaloosa, AL (KTCL) Montgomery, AL (KMGM) --Jacksonville CWA-- Jacksonville, FL (KJAX) Gainesville, FL (KGNV) Brunswick, GA (KBQK) --Peachtree City CWA-- Columbus, GA (KCSG) Macon, GA (KMCN) Atlanta, GA (KATL) --Melbourne CWA-- Orlando, FL (KMCO) --Tampy Bay/Ruskin CWA-- Tampa, FL (KTBW) --Charleston CWA-- Savannah, GA (KSAV) Charleston, SC (KCHS) --Columbia CWA-- Augusta, GA (KAUG) Columbia, SC (KCAE) --Greer CWA-- Greenville, SC (KGSP) Charlotte, NC (KCLT) --Huntsville CWA-- Huntsville, AL (KHSV) --Morristown CWA-- Chattanooga, TN (KCHA) --Jackson CWA-- Meridian, MS (KNMM) Jackson, MS (KJAN) Greenville, MS (KGLH) --Slidell CWA-- Biloxi, MS (KBIX) New Orleans, LA (KMSY)

Ensemble Mean 36 hr Sea Level Pressure & Accumulated Precipitation Forecast

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© 2006-2009, Clark Evans. Disclaimer: These forecasts are experimental and NOT official forecasts. As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large forecast error. Please refer to official NWS forecasts for the latest weather information.