Robert Hart and Lindsey Day, Florida State University
Day, L., 2013: Climatological and Synoptic Patterns of Atlantic Hurricanes Categorized by GFS Track Ensemble Spread and Error. M.S. Thesis. Florida State University.
Hauke, M.D., 2006: Evaluating Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Track Error Distributions Based on Forecast Confidence. M.S. Thesis. Naval Postgraduate School. 105pp.
The authors of this page are grateful for the constructive feedback provided by Philip Sura, Guosheng Liu, Jon Ahlquist, Josh Cossuth, Dan Halperin, Ryan Truchelut, and Andy Hazelton.
GEFS track data are from the NHC ATCF.