Tropical Cyclone Track Probability
Historical probability of a tropical cyclone crossing various locations around the world


Robert Hart, Florida State University Meteorology, rhart@fsu.edu
Funding provided by Risk Prediction Initiative (RPI) of the Bermuda Institute of Oceanic Sciences (BIOS)
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Last updated: Mon Nov 23 16:47:02 UTC 2009





Current tropical cyclones/investigation regions being tracked
and their historical crossing probability (%):

Basin, TC #, and
TC Name (right)
wpac
TWENTYSIX
wpac
TWENTYSEVE
wpac
NIDA
sindian
TWO
Basin, TC #, and
TC Name (left)
Map marker (right)
Magenta
Red
Orange
Yellow
Map marker (left)
Region (below)
8.40,147.90
9.90,126.50
8.80,147.00
-8.50,53.60
Region (below)
Any Land
68-39-19
89-28-9
64-38-19
38-2-0
Any Land
Azores Azores
Bermuda
or w/i 1 deg
Bermuda
or w/i 1 deg
California California
Canadian
Maritimes
Canadian
Maritimes
Chemung, NY
or w/i 1deg
Chemung, NY
or w/i 1deg
China
12-6-1
17-6-0
12-6-1
China
Connecticut Connecticut
Cuba Cuba
Dominican
Republic
Dominican
Republic
East Coast
of USA
East Coast
of USA
FL Big Bend
83W-85W
FL Big Bend
83W-85W
FL East Coast
PBI-DAB
FL East Coast
PBI-DAB
FL Keys
or w/i 2deg
FL Keys
or w/i 2deg
FL NE Coast
DAB North
FL NE Coast
DAB North
Florida Florida
FL Panhandle
west of 85W
FL Panhandle
west of 85W
FL South
of 27N
FL South
of 27N
FL West Coast
FMY-29N
FL West Coast
FMY-29N
Georgia Coast Georgia Coast
Gulf of
Mexico Coast
Gulf of
Mexico Coast
Haiti Haiti
Hawaii Hawaii
Hong Kong
1-1-0
2-0-0
1-1-0
Hong Kong
Jamaica Jamaica
Japan
8-3-0
1-0-0
8-3-0
Japan
Louisiana Coast Louisiana Coast
Maine Maine
Mexico
(from ATL)
Mexico
(from ATL)
Mexico
(from EPAC)
Mexico
(from EPAC)
N Carolina
(East of 78W)
N Carolina
(East of 78W)
New England New England
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania
PSU
or w/i 1deg
PSU
or w/i 1deg
Puerto Rico Puerto Rico
Rhode Island Rhode Island
S Carolina
(East of 81W)
S Carolina
(East of 81W)
South Korea
5-2-0
1-0-0
3-2-0
South Korea
Taiwan
2-1-0
1-0-0
3-1-1
Taiwan
Tallahassee Tallahassee
Texas Coast Texas Coast
USA USA
Region (above) 8.40,147.90 9.90,126.50 8.80,147.00 -8.50,53.60 Region (above)
Map marker (right)
Magenta
Red
Orange
Yellow
Map marker (left)
Basin, TC #, and
TC Name (right)
wpac
TWENTYSIX
wpac
TWENTYSEVE
wpac
NIDA
sindian
TWO
Basin, TC #, and
TC Name (left)