FSU MM5 Tropical Cyclone Prediction

This page provides experimental 2 times daily (0000UTC, 1200UTC) high resolution PSU/NCAR MM5 hurricane real-time forecasts for the Atlantic basin.

PLEASE NOTE: These forecasts are experimental and NOT official forecasts. As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large forecast error.
Please refer to official NHC forecasts for the latest track information.

IMPORTANT NOTE: We are running at one-third speed for the foreseeable future due to student thesis requirements of the cluster. We appreciate your patience.

Jump: [ Status | Cluster Load | Cluster UPS | Archive | Model Description | Acknowledgments | Evans WRF Page | Evans ATCF/Analogs | Winterbottom WRF | Winterbottom HYCOM ]

Current run: 2009100500

Storm-specific forecasts:

invest_al092009
Status
Track
Track with
Cone
Intensity
Timeseries
Wind
swath
Precip.
Storm-
centered
Map
Storm-
centered
NS Cross
Section
Storm-
centered
EW Cross
Section
18km GFS Init.
Through 117 hours
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Movie
Movie
Movie
18km GFS/GFDL Merge Init.
Not run.
6km GFS Init.
Not run.
6km GFS/GFDL Merge Init.
Not run.
invest_al902009
Status
Track
Track with
Cone
Intensity
Timeseries
Wind
swath
Precip.
Storm-
centered
Map
Storm-
centered
NS Cross
Section
Storm-
centered
EW Cross
Section
18km GFS Init.
Through 117 hours
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Movie
Movie
Movie
18km GFS/GFDL Merge Init.
Not run.
6km GFS Init.
Not run.
6km GFS/GFDL Merge Init.
Not run.
invest_al912009
Status
Track
Track with
Cone
Intensity
Timeseries
Wind
swath
Precip.
Storm-
centered
Map
Storm-
centered
NS Cross
Section
Storm-
centered
EW Cross
Section
18km GFS Init.
Through 117 hours
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Movie
Movie
Movie
18km GFS/GFDL Merge Init.
Not run.
6km GFS Init.
Not run.
6km GFS/GFDL Merge Init.
Not run.

18km-gfs [GFS-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 0
250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
500mb Height and Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop

Page maintained by Bob Hart.