FSU MM5 Tropical Cyclone Prediction

This page provides experimental 2 times daily (0000UTC, 1200UTC) high resolution PSU/NCAR MM5 hurricane real-time forecasts for the Atlantic basin.

PLEASE NOTE: These forecasts are experimental and NOT official forecasts. As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large forecast error.
Please refer to official NHC forecasts for the latest track information.

IMPORTANT NOTE: We are running at one-third speed for the foreseeable future due to student thesis requirements of the cluster. We appreciate your patience.

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Current run: 2009092200

18km-merge [GFS/GFDL-merge-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 0
250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
500mb Height and Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 Loop

18km-gfs [GFS-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 0
250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
500mb Height and Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop

Page maintained by Bob Hart.