FSU MM5 Tropical Cyclone Prediction

This page provides experimental 2 times daily (0000UTC, 1200UTC) high resolution PSU/NCAR MM5 hurricane real-time forecasts for the Atlantic basin.

PLEASE NOTE: These forecasts are experimental and NOT official forecasts. As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large forecast error.
Please refer to official NHC forecasts for the latest track information.

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Current run: 2009070212

6km-gfs [GFS-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 12
250mb Height and Wind: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
500mb Height and Vorticity: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
Integrated Cloud Water: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
Hourly Precip: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 Loop

18km-gfs [GFS-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 0
250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
500mb Height and Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 90 96 108 120 Loop

Page maintained by Bob Hart.