FSU MM5 Tropical Cyclone Prediction

This page provides experimental 2 times daily (0000UTC, 1200UTC) high resolution PSU/NCAR MM5 hurricane real-time forecasts for the Atlantic basin.

PLEASE NOTE: These forecasts are experimental and NOT official forecasts. As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large forecast error.
Please refer to official NHC forecasts for the latest track information.

Current run: 2008100712

Storm-specific forecasts:

MARCO Status Track Track with
Cone Intensity
Timeseries Wind
swath Precip. Storm-
centered
Map Storm-
centered
NS Cross
Section Storm-
centered
EW Cross
Section
18km GFS/GFDL Init. Through 42 hours Image Image Image Image Image Movie Movie Movie
6km GFS/GFDL Init. Not run.

18km-merge [GFS/GFDL-merge-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

Initialized SST and Terrain: 0

250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

500mb Height and Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 Loop

Page maintained by Bob Hart.

MARCO	Status	Track	Track with Cone	Intensity Timeseries	Wind swath	Precip.	Storm- centered Map	Storm- centered NS Cross Section	Storm- centered EW Cross Section
18km GFS/GFDL Init.	Through 42 hours	Image	Image	Image	Image	Image	Movie	Movie	Movie
6km GFS/GFDL Init.	Not run.

Mean Sea Level Pressure:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain:
250mb Height and Wind:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop
500mb Height and Vorticity:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop
3hr Precip:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop
Accumulated Precip:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop
320K Potential Vorticity:	3	6	9	12	15	18	21	24	27	30	33	36	39	42	Loop