FSU MM5 Tropical Cyclone Prediction

This page provides experimental 2-4 times daily (0000UTC, 0600UTC, 1200UTC, 1800UTC) high resolution PSU/NCAR MM5 hurricane real-time forecasts for the Atlantic basin.

PLEASE NOTE: These forecasts are experimental and NOT official forecasts. As with any model, these forecasts are prone to large forecast error.
Please refer to official NHC forecasts for the latest track information.

Jump: [ Run Status | Cluster Load Status | Cluster UPS Status | Archive | Model Description | Acknowledgments | Evans Tropical WRF Page | Winterbottom MM5 Amira Visualizations]

Current run: 2008051612

11km-a [GFS-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 0
250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
500mb Height: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
Integrated Cloud Water: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 Loop

33km-a [GFS-Initialized] Model fields:

Mean Sea Level Pressure: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop
Near-surface Wind Speed: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop
Initialized SST and Terrain: 0
250mb Height and Wind: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop
500mb Height: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop
3hr Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop
Accumulated Precip: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop
320K Potential Vorticity: 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 54 60 66 72 78 84 96 108 120 Loop

Page maintained by Bob Hart.