Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting cyclone phase diagrams.



Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2008090712 GFS: 2008090718
MM5FSU(GFSInit): 2008081012 MM5FSU(GFSGFDLInit): 2008081012
NGP: 2008090712 UKM: 2008090718

Current/recent GFDL model output:
hanna08l:2008090700 ike09l:2008090718
josephine10l:2008090712 lowell13e:2008090718
thirteen13e:2008090700

Current/recent HWRF model output:
hanna08l:2008090700 ike09l:2008090718
josephine10l:2008090712 lowell13e:2008090718
thirteen13e:2008090700

Experimental current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
al082008_NOAA15:2008090706 al082008_NOAA16:2008090700
al082008_NOAA18:2008090706 al092008_NOAA15:2008090712
al092008_NOAA16:2008090712 al092008_NOAA18:2008090718
ep132008_NOAA18:2008090718 wp942008_NOAA15:2008090706
wp942008_NOAA16:2008090706

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic model intercomparison: [ 2008090718 | 2008090712 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2008090712 | 2008090700 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2008090712 | 2008090700 ]

Latest CMC+GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2008090712 | 2008090700 ]


Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]


Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University
(rhart@met.fsu.edu)

Jenni Evans
Penn State University
(evans@essc.psu.edu)


This page last updated: Mon Sep 8 03:50:02 UTC 2008