Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

Note: ECMWF analyses are provided by TIGGE and delayed by 2 days by ECMWF.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting cyclone phase diagrams (in this case, truly an historic forecast).



Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2013052312 ECMWF: 2013052000
GFS: 2013052312 NAVGEM: 2013052312
UKM: 2013052312

Current/recent GFDL model output:
invest91e:2013052218

Current/recent NCEP HWRF model output:
invest91e:2013052218

Current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
New multi-satellite synthesis
ep912013:2013052312 io932013:2013052200

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic model intercomparison: [ 2013052306 | 2013052300 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2013021712 | 2013021700 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2013021712 | 2013021700 ]

Latest NGP Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2013052300 | 2013052212 ]

Latest CMC+GFS+NGP Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2012112812 | 2012112800 ]


Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]


Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University
(rhart@fsu.edu)

Jenni Evans
Penn State University
(evans@essc.psu.edu)


This page last updated: Thu May 23 19:52:09 UTC 2013