Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

Note: ECMWF analyses are provided by TIGGE and delayed by 2 days by ECMWF.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting cyclone phase diagrams.



Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2009112112 ECMWF: 2009111912
GFS: 2009112118 NGP: 2009112112
UKM: 2009112118

Current/recent GFDL model output:
No recent GFDL runs

Current/recent HWRF model output:
No recent HWRF runs

Experimental current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
wp922009_NOAA15:2009112006 wp922009_NOAA16:2009112112
wp922009_NOAA18:2009112012 wp932009_NOAA15:2009112100
wp932009_NOAA16:2009112112 wp932009_NOAA18:2009112106
wp942009_NOAA15:2009112112 wp942009_NOAA16:2009112112
wp942009_NOAA18:2009112112

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic model intercomparison: [ 2009112118 | 2009112112 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2009112000 | 2009111912 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2009112000 | 2009111912 ]

Latest CMC+GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2009112000 | 2009111912 ]


Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]


Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University
(rhart@met.fsu.edu)

Jenni Evans
Penn State University
(evans@essc.psu.edu)


This page last updated: Sun Nov 22 00:32:34 UTC 2009