Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

Note: ECMWF analyses are provided by TIGGE and delayed by 2 days by ECMWF.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting cyclone phase diagrams (in this case, truly an historic forecast).



Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2012021212 ECMWF: 2011083000
GFS: 2012021212 NGP: 2012021212
UKM: 2012021212

Current/recent GFDL model output:
No recent GFDL runs

Current/recent NCEP HWRF model output:
No recent NCEP HWRF runs

Current/recent NOAA HFIP HWRF model output:
No recent NOAA HFIP HWRF runs

Current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
New multi-satellite synthesis
sh102012:2012021200 sh122012:2012021212
sh992012:2012021118 wp922012:2012021212

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic model intercomparison: [ 2012021212 | 2012021206 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2012020800 | 2012020712 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2012020812 | 2012020800 ]

Latest NGP Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2012021200 | 2012021112 ]

Latest CMC+GFS+NGP Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2011110912 | 2011110900 ]


Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]


Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University
(rhart@fsu.edu)

Jenni Evans
Penn State University
(evans@essc.psu.edu)


This page last updated: Sun Feb 12 19:56:16 UTC 2012