Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting diagrams. In this case, the UKMET analysis of extratropical transition of Ignacio and "landfall" near the Alaskan border as a weakening extratropical storm.

Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2016021112 GFS: 2016021112
NAVGEM: 2016021112 UKM: 2016021118

Current/recent GFDL model output:
No recent GFDL runs

Current/recent NCEP HWRF model output:
eleven11p:2016021100 invest97p:2016021018
invest99s:2016021118 tatiana12p:2016021118
twelve12p:2016021106 winston11p:2016021118

Current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
No recent AMSU retrievals

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic intercomparison: [ 2016021112 | 2016021106 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble: [ 2016021112 | 2016021100 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble: [ 2016021100 | 2016021012 ]

Latest NGP Ensemble: [ 2016021112 | 2016021100 ]

Latest CMC+GFS+NGP Ensemble: [ 2016021112 | 2016021100 ]

Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]

Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University

Jenni Evans
Penn State University

This page last updated: Fri Feb 12 01:09:24 UTC 2016