Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting cyclone phase diagrams.



Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2008072512 GFS: 2008072512
MM5FSU(GFSInit): 2008072512 MM5FSU(GFSGFDLInit): 2008072500
NGP: 2008072500 UKM: 2008072512

Current/recent GFDL model output:
genevieve08e:2008072506

Current/recent HWRF model output:
genevieve08e:2008072506

Experimental current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
al042008_NOAA16:2008072318 al042008_NOAA18:2008072418
ep082008_NOAA15:2008072418 wp092008_NOAA16:2008072500
wp092008_NOAA18:2008072512

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic model intercomparison: [ 2008072512 | 2008072506 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2008072500 | 2008072412 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2008072500 | 2008072412 ]

Latest CMC+GFS Ensemble intercomparison: [ 2008072500 | 2008072412 ]


Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]


Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University
(rhart@met.fsu.edu)

Jenni Evans
Penn State University
(evans@essc.psu.edu)


This page last updated: Fri Jul 25 19:41:13 UTC 2008