Cyclone phase evolution: Analyses & Forecasts

This page presents historical, analyzed (current), and model-forecast cyclone phase diagrams for northwestern hemisphere cyclones
with the goals of improved structural forecasting, structural transition (subtropical/tropical/extratropical), cyclogenesis, and providing measures of structural predictability.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

To the right are the most recently picked interesting diagrams.
In this case, the GFS analysis of Typhoon Koguma's three-week complete lifecycle across the entire north Pacific, ending in southern California, USA.



Latest deterministic model output:
CMC: 2026111000 ECMWF: 2026111000
GFS: 2026111000 JMA: 2026111000
NAVGEM: 2026111000 UKMET: 2026111000

Current/recent NCEP HWRF model output:
cempaka31w:2026111000 invest96e:2026110906
pena04c:2026111000

Current/recent NCEP HMON model output:
No recent NCEP HMON runs

Current/recent CIRA/NESDIS AMSU based diagrams:
No recent AMSU retrievals

Ensemble output:
Latest deterministic intercomparison: [ 2026010412 | 2026010406 ]

Latest CMC Ensemble: [ 2026111000 | 2026110912 ]

Latest GFS Ensemble: [ 2026111000 | 2026110912 ]

Latest NGP Ensemble: [ 2026111000 | 2026110912 ]

Latest CMC+GFS+NGP Ensemble: [ 2026111000 | 2026110912 ]


Example phase diagrams from past events: [View]

Help/Docs: [ Docs | AMS02-ppt | AMS02Talk-ppt ]


Page created and maintained by:

Robert Hart
Florida State University


This page last updated: Tue Nov 10 10:15:17 AM UTC 2026